Forex Trading -The Power Of Round Numbers

We are constantly rounding off numbers in our day to day activities. It occurs when we go to the market, read the temperature, buy a piece of property or go to the gas station. We are immutably drawn to round numbers and numbers that end in zero. These round numbers play a major role in Forex trading.

Why The Interest In Round Numbers?

In 1999 the Dow Jones Industrial Average hit the 10,000 mark for the first time. Investors were testing this level for almost two weeks before it finally closed over the 10,000 mark. This even was cause for much celebration as it was considered a major milestone. forex broker

About seven years later the Dow was trading at only 11,000. The investors that were driven into a frenzy when it hit 10,000 had little to show for it some years later.

In 1999 the success of the Dow was one of the most publicized events of the year. Financial news channels were running four hour specials extolling the event as the second coming. The entire market was totally absorbed by this figure. forex broker

Theories abound that humans have developed a numeric systems called “base 10″ because they have 10 fingers and toes. Humans also gravitate to numbers that are factors of 10.

The Round Number Effect

Investors and traders have a very strong tendency to enter orders that coincide with round numbers. For example a trader may place an order on a specific stock when and if it falls to a $40 level. If multiple traders also place buy orders at $40 because it appears that the stock is a good buy at that level, the stock will encounter a large pool of buy orders. This often causes a large amount of buying activity and because buyers are outnumbering the sellers the value of the stock will rise rapidly.

In essence, the traders have generated what is called a “support level” at the $40 mark because multiple buy orders have accumulated at that price. This is what is referred to psychological support because it is not based on any prior price activity.

This phenomenon is common to all trading markets but is especially prevalent in the currency market. The reasoning behind this round number phenomenon in commodity, stock and forex trading is that part of humans that is attracted to round numbers. As long as people are involved in trading this phenomenon will be present.

Round Numbers In Forex

The profound influence of round numbers in the Forex marketplace should not be underestimated. A good example of this occurred in early 2005 when the USD/CAD currency pair found support repeatedly at 1.2000. Another example occurred in the early part of 2006 when the EUR/USD found support at about 1.2700. Traders that specialized in round number entry points were able to gain some great rewards.

Banks enjoy substantial commissions when they implement customer orders around these round numbers as large pools of orders tend to accumulate. The fact that these orders do tend to congregate around numbers creates a major strategy for many traders and many traders lean on this as a major trading technique.

The First Bounce Is The Best

Round number support and resistance is extremely attractive to those utilizing a Day Trading strategy. The time frames involved in day trading are typically very short. This happens because of the fact that the first bounce off of the round number support or resistance is usually the one that is the best and most profitable bounce. Traders are constantly looking to make certain that they are seeing this first bounce. Longer trading time frames are ineffective because they can often hide multiple bounces within a single candle spike.

Every time the exchange rate achieves the round number support level orders are executed. As this occurs, the pool of orders that created the support or resistance level diminishes. Once the level of orders is insufficient to affect the support or resistance level that level will eventually break.

It is for this reason that it is vital for traders to take advantage of the first bounce off the round number since it is at this point that the number of orders is the greatest and produces the biggest value. An active trader can also trade the subsequent bounces although they tend to yield smaller profits. Trading requires constant vigilance for success unless you use an automated trading system.

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One of the most important points in your forex education should be that if you try and predict forex prices you are 100% guaranteed to lose. The reason is obvious yet more novice traders make this mistake than any other – yet you don’t have to predict to win let me explain why.

Predicting is simply another word for hoping or guessing and that will not make you money in any venture in life and certainly not currency trading. forex broker

Let’s first dispel the myth of prediction and then explain what you really have to do to win.

Why Predicting Forex is as Accurate as Your Horoscope

There is a huge industry in guru’s who tell you they can predict market tops and bottoms and that markets move to a scientific repetitive pattern and pedal ridiculous theories based upon Gann, Elliot wave or Fibonacci numbers.

They all lose and its again common sense why markets don’t move to a scientific law. forex broker

Why Dont they?

Because if they did, we would all know the price in advance and there would be no market – a market by its very nature moves on uncertainty.

Also if their was a scientific theory that applied to forex trading whoever had it, would not need to sell it to you, as they would be making to much money!

How to Win

The way to enjoy currency trading success is not to attempt to predict – but to act on the reality of the price change.

Let me give you an example that will make this clearer.

Let’s say you see a currency coming into test major support and you think it’s going to hold.

You do not simply execute a trading signal into the level of support – you wait.

You wait for support to hold and prices to turn away from the level – supported by price momentum.

Using Momentum

If you don’t know anything about momentum indicators, then make them an essential part of your forex education.

These momentum oscillators will help you confirm changes in price momentum and allow you to see visually when price is strengthening away from support. You may say I will miss the turn and sure you will – but you don’t know its going to turn in advance!

There is an old saying:

“A bottom picker becomes a cotton picker”

And its right, try and predict market lows or highs and you will end up losing your trading account equity.

Great momentum indicators to use are:

The Stochastic, RSI, ADX etc – we don’t have time to cover them here, just look them up in our other articles.

They are excellent indicators and will get the odds in your favour.

This is what forex trading is a game of odds – not certainties.

Don’t let that worry you though if you can trade the odds you can make a lot of money.

If You Want To Win

Trading is not about trying to be clever and catching the exact turn, know one can do that – so don’t try.

Trading has one aim making money and don’t worry if you could catch just 60% of all the major trends you would be very rich.

If you learn forex trading the right way and get the right forex education you will now know you need to to act on the reality of price change, use momentum indicators to get the odds in your favour and if you do, your currency trading profits will soar.

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Forex Trading Room

Learning to trade the Forex market from a live Forex trading room can greatly improve and quicken the depth of your Forex trading education. Receiving an education from a professional Forex trader live in a real time Forex trading room as he or she enters and exits trades is the closest thing to actually having a professional Forex trader sitting beside you at your trading desk as you trade. A live Forex trading room that offers you the ability to ask questions of a professional Forex trader is a huge advantage that will greatly reduce your learning curve. Being able to ask questions and get a window into the mind of an actual professional Forex trader is the closest thing to “on the job” training you will find in the world of Forex training. forex broker

A quality Forex trading room will offer you explanations from the head trader as he or she is entering and exiting trades. In this way you will begin to understand why they are doing what they are doing, instead of just receiving blind signals that teach you nothing. Many trading educational courses or services are nothing more than “black box” rule systems or subscription services offering daily signals, these types of educational methods do not actually teach you anything of substance. They do this in order to keep you coming back for more so they can make more money. A truly honest and genuine Forex educational service will provide an in depth education so as to empower you to be able to trade on your own and eventually remove yourself from their support. forex broker

The Forex trading educational source you learn from should be trading the same method they are teaching or selling to you. One of the best ways to make sure this is actually taking place is to learn how to trade Forex from a live Forex trading room where the head or senior trader is calling out and explaining trades in real time that they are actually taking on their live personal trading account. In this way you know the person you are learning has some credibility and is at least putting themselves out there in front of a live audience which proves they believe in what they are selling you.

Being able to actually watch someone who trades for a living do what they do every day is the best way for any beginning, or experienced trader to learn how to trade effectively. Just as in any other industry you learn on the job from someone who is experienced at their craft, so you should learn the same way in Forex. The advantages of learning to trade Forex from a live Forex trading room are too numerous to list. The biggest one however, is that there is usually a pretty large learning curve involved in becoming a Forex trader which inevitably involves losing money and losing time. By utilizing a live Forex training trading room, at the very least you will be able to save yourself some amount of time and some amount of money because you will commit fewer mistakes than you would if you attempt to learn on your own.

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Forex Trading – Lose More Than Invested

Thanks to margin, today online forex trading is available to any investor. Margin allows a trader to control 100 – 500 times more the amount of money actually deposited. When there is a chance of profit, there is also a possibility of loss. By borrowing sums that a trader doesn’t actually possess, is it possible to lose more money than invested? Is there a possibility of negative balance? Can you end up owing a large sum of money to the forex broker? And if so, how can you protect yourself from it? forex broker

Do You Borrow Money from Forex Broker?

First of all, let’s understand what margin actually is. In forex currencies are sold in lots or in other words – $100,000. When trading with margin account, the term “leverage” joins the game. Leverage displays the money “borrowed” from a broker. Leverage varies from 1:50 to 1:500, depending on a broker and the size of a trading position. For example, you have opened a 1% margin account and deposited $1,000. Leverage 1:100 allows you to control $100,000 instead of just $1,000. forex broker

What is The Risk?

Now, what is the risk of margin trading? Once you use margin account, your get a significant financial boost and a greater chance of potential profit. However, it is very easy to completely wipe all of your account out within seconds. When you have 1% margin account and there is a slight currency move, even a single penny will cost you $1,000!

With that being said, margin accounts give a forex trader a chance to dramatically increase the profits, and at the same time there is an increased risk involved in every trading decision. It is possible to lose more money than invested.

And here is another frequently ignored risk – forex brokers can close the trading position when the price reaches the point where losses are almost equal to the value of your margin account. In this situation, you can not only lose the entire account balance but also lose any change to make a profit in case the price suddenly changes the direction and moves up again.

Can You Lose More than You Have Deposited?

The basic rule of thumb is never trade the amount you cannot afford to lose. The last thing you need is to get the savings, the car and your house confiscated!

To avoid any trouble related to margin trading, always read your forex broker terms and conditions before agreeing to them. Some brokers do not hold you responsible for a negative balance caused by trading activity where loss is greater than the deposited amount, meaning that the worst case scenario is when you lose the entire deposited sum.

However, there are forex brokers that hold you responsible for the negative balance and will require you to deposit more money to cover it. In case you agree to such contract, you can not only lose all of the money in your account, but also end up owning money much greater than your initial deposit.

Ways to Protect Yourself

1. Margin Call

Luckily for all of us, most forex brokers offer a negative balance protection called Margin Call, and will automatically close a trade before the loss becomes more than the initial deposited balance.

2. Stop Loss Order

Stop Loss Order will automatically close your trading position the moment the price reaches the point you have set. This is a great way to limit the potential loss and still stay in the game to make profits.

3. Understand Leverage

Just because your forex broker gives 500:1 leverage option, doesn’t mean you should go for it. Leverage not only increases your potential losses, but also increases the transaction costs as a % to your trading account. If you are a beginner in forex trading, while gaining an experience, use small leverage (like 50:1). This will increase your potential profits and protect you from completely wiping your account clean.

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Of the four main types of Forex trading order the most important is the stop loss order and yet it’s surprising how many traders choose to ignore it. It’s particularly surprising because those traders who do use stop loss orders invariably make much more money in the long run than those who don’t. forex broker

It is no accident that this order is called a stop loss order, because that’s exactly what it’s designed to do – to stop you making a loss! So, why do so many traders choose to ignore a basic tool of trading that is specifically designed to protect them from the market turning against them?

The simple answer is emotion. The Forex market is essentially a technical market and trading needs to be based upon a technical analysis of the market. Unfortunately, however, human beings are emotional animals and even when the numbers are staring us in the face there is still a strong urge to follow our feelings and to be ruled by our heart rather than our head. forex broker

One of the main arguments you will hear for a trader not using a stop loss order is that he is concerned that even though a trade is moving against him he knows that the trade is fundamentally good and that it will reverse in his favor to give him the profit he is expecting. However, if he were to put a stop loss order on the trade, there is a danger that his position will be closed out at a loss before the market reverses.

Now, from time to time this will indeed happen but unfortunately in all too many cases it will not. Without a stop loss order the trader who is ‘off the trading floor’ will return to find that he has made an unexpectedly large loss and the trader who is ‘on the trading floor’ will not fare much better.

As the latter watches the market move against him and his trading moving into negative territory he’ll hang in there in the belief that things will turn in his favor shortly. However, a small loss will begin to turn into a fairly sizable loss and he’ll now be in the position of not only still believing that he is right and that the market will turn, but of also being pushed mentally to hold his ground because he also needs to claw back some of his now unacceptable loss when the market does turn. In the end of course he is invariably forced to admit to himself that he got it wrong and to get out of his position before a large loss turns into disaster.

No matter how good a trader you are you will not make a profit on ever trade you enter and losing trades are simply a fact of life. However, the only way to trade successfully is to make sure that you minimize the size of any losing trades and that means putting a stop loss order on all of your trades to protect yourself not only from the vagaries of the market but also from your own emotions.

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Forex Terminator is a trading system used by a professional Forex trader to make extremely accurate and profitable trades. And as everyone knows who trades currency, you must have a system and stick to it to be successful. I’ve tested FX Terminator and was very impressed with the manual trading system (to the tune of 822 pips in 3 days), but left wanting on the automatic trading option. Read the rest of my Forex Terminator Review to find out more about this exciting currency trading system. forex broker

What Exactly Is Forex Terminator?

There are really two things you get with this Forex system: A template for the Metatrader4 trading platform with the rules to make manual trades and an Expert Advisor to put your trading on autopilot. Having a template is great because all you have to do is put the files in your Metatrader4 platform files and then simply attach the template to the 4 hour chart you are monitoring. So instead of having to set up all the indicators manually, you just load up the template, which is very convenient. forex broker

You can also chose to set up the Expert Advisor to have your trades placed on autopilot. I have tested this option both with the indications given and with my own setting and have found this option to be less profitable than manual trading. But when you see the results of manual trading below, I’m sure you won’t mind having to put in the trades manually. (And if you are like me, you probably don’t want a robot playing around with all your money).

Example Of Using Forex Terminator

Setting up the template takes all of about 1 minute. Understanding the trading rules is very simple as well, and only needs about 1 page of instruction. Then it is just a matter of waiting for the indicators to point to a trade opportunity. For example, while I am writing this review I am waiting for two currency pairs to present a trade.

Once you place the trade, you need to set a Stop Loss. Since this trading system uses a 4 Hour Chart, the Stop Loss should be 100 or 150 pips, depending on your risk tolerance. You have the choice of setting a profit target, or keeping an eye on the trade and exiting when you get the next signal. This really depends on your trading style, but I have not been setting the Take Profit and have have some great trades so far.

Forex Terminator Results

Over the first 3 days of trading I’ve made 5 winning trades for 822 pips in total, and 1 losing trade for 50 pips. I’ve also missed some trading opportunities that would have been successful, and on the losing trade I tried to push the limits of the rules and get into a trade late, which resulted in the loss. Overall, my results have been nothing short of fantastic with room for improvement.

While the FX Terminator trading system is completely mechanical, you just follow the rules and set your trades accordingly, I still think I can do better with practice. It is just like anything you learn for the first time – practice is necessary. And while I don’t expect any Forex trading system to be perfect, I am very excited about the results so far.

Every Forex trader needs a system to follow. And in my opinion, FX Terminator is a trading system with great promise. Again, I don’t recommend the autopilot trading option, but I do recommend using the manual option. If my huge success testing this system so far is any indication of how well it performs long term, I’m looking forward to accumulating a lot of pips (and profits), with Forex Terminator.

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What are the best Forex trading techniques to use to enjoy Forex trading success? In this article we will look at some time tested techniques you can easily apply for bigger Forex profits. forex broker

All the best Forex trading systems are simple and yours needs to be simple too, if you make your trading system to complex, it will simply break in the brutal world of trading now, lets look at some techniques you can put into your Forex trading strategy to make it successful.

The first Forex trading technique you need to become familiar with is basic technical analysis and learning how to read simple bar charts. You need to be able to spot areas of support or resistance that are important. The bar chart gives you a visual picture of the trend and once you have this, you can decide if levels of resistance are going to hold or break but how do you this? forex broker

If you want a simple Forex trading technique which works and will continue to work simply watch for significant levels of support or resistance to break and go with the break. You don’t have to guess or predict you simply trade the reality of the price break and go with it. This method is simple and effective and if you look at any currency chart, you will see all the big trends start there trends from these breakouts and also continue there trends from them so its timeless, easy way to make some great profits.

You need to look for levels that others traders consider important so look for levels that have been tested between four and six times and in breakout trading, its the more tests the better. Most traders don’t trade breakouts, as they want to buy high and sell low but this is simply not possible in Forex trading and involves prediction which is just hoping or guessing. If you trade breakouts, you let the market tell you where prices are going and trade the reality of price change; this method therefore, will get you in on all the best trends and profits.

You can put your stop close below the breakout point and then you need to learn another key Forex trading technique which is how to cope with volatility and stay with the trend, by learning how to trail your stop correctly.

Most traders try to restrict risk too much and end up creating it. If you look at the big trends they last a long time and you must have the confidence and the courage, to hold your stop outside of normal volatility.

A good way to do this is to trail your stop behind a key simple moving average and the 40 day MA is an excellent one to use. Sure, you give a bit back at the end of the trend but you have too as no one know when a big trend will end. Always keep in mind, if you caught just 60% of every major trend you would make a huge amount of money.

You must accept short term dips into your open profit, to stay with big trends and most Forex traders are not capable of using this Forex trading technique. They always want to have their stop to close and get stopped out with a minor profit, when they could have had a huge one.

Acceptance of short term open equity dips is essential to making money long term, so make sure you never place a stop to close and keep your eye on the big profits from the big trends.

If you learn breakout trading and how to trail your stops correctly, you will have two Forex trading techniques which you can put in your Forex trading strategy and enjoy some great Forex profits.

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Every week I see a new Forex trading software package claiming I can make huge gains with no effort and all for a hundred dollars or so – But which of these systems REALLY work? Let’s find out… forex broker

In a moment I will give you some free systems that have made hundreds of millions of dollars but first let’s get rid of all the systems that don’t work. If you want to spot them look for these key points:

- Claims of hundreds of percent or more in annual gains and under 5% in drawdown

- Claims of 95% or more in terms of accuracy

- Claims that they can predict the future with scientific algorithms

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You can spot these Forex robots easily, they will normally have a catchy name and retail for around a hundred dollars. Of course if you really could make money with little or no drawdown, with no effort and for the cost of a good night out, 95% of traders wouldn’t lose and they do. These systems don’t have a real track record, just simulations over past data but that’s easy! We could all be billionaires, if we knew tomorrow’s closing price today but we don’t.

If you want to cross a Forex trading software package off your list, look for a simulated track record or one the vendor tells you is true but has no audit of figures from an outside source.

Systems that Make Money and two that Have Made Hundreds of Millions in Profit for FREE!

If you want a system that makes money, you will normally see 50 – 100% annual gains with some drawdown, normally around 20 – 30% will occur even on the best systems and they will also produce an independent track record. These systems have periods of losses ( all good systems do) but stick with them and you could make huge profits.

To get you started, check out two free systems which are by trading legends which have made hundreds of millions in REAL dollars.

The Turtle Trading Rules by Richard Dennis

These rules were given to a group of newbie traders who piled up 400 million in profits with them. Dennis gave them the system to prove anyone could win with the right system and mindset and he was proved right.

The 4 Week Rule by Richard Donchian

A favourite of mine a one rule system you can learn in 10 minutes yet, it’s been piling up huge profits for nearly 30 years and its by another true trading legend Richard Donchian – the grandfather of modern trend following and one of the most respected traders of all time.

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Swing trading can be highly effective in forex markets enabling you to trade with low risk and high rewards.

Swing trading is however misunderstood by many traders and they lose.

Here we will look at a specific method to swing trade that will give you low risk and high reward. forex broker

Swing trading

Takes advantage of corrections in value sideways or strongly trending markets and a typical trade will last 2 – 5 days.

Many traders think they can swing trade on a daily basis but this will just see you lose your equity quickly.

Day trading no matter what system you use is a mugs game, as volatility within a day is totally random and levels have no significance. forex broker

If you want proof then ask a day trader for a real time track record of profits and you won’t get one.

Now let’s get started on a simple 3 point method to swing trade.

1. Establish valid support and resistance

You are looking for support or resistance that has been tested and held on several occasions preferably at new chart highs or lows.

2. Watch Momentum

Watch prices move strongly toward the support or resistance and look for confirmation that price momentum is going to turn.

This is the critical point!

You need CONFIRMATION that price momentum is waning, a turn is likely and the odds favour a swing trade.

You want some evidence that price momentum is not strong enough to take out support or resistance.

The best indicator for this is the stochastic indicator – It’s the ultimate indicator to time a swing trade and if you don’t know how it works learn about it from our other articles.

The stochastic is a visual indicator and here we will simply look at the visual set up you need.

When the market is for example trending up to resistance, the stochastic lines will both normally point up. When the market is moving down the opposite set up will apply.

The signal you are looking for is:

For the stochastic lines to cross each other and point either up (bullish divergence) to show support has held or cross and point down (bearish divergence) to show resistance has held – This is your signal to take the trade.

You can see this set up on any free chart service and one of the best is futuresource.com.

3. Target

When you have entered a trade you need a target.

Next pull up the Bollinger band.

If you have had a quick volatile move to test support or resistance, prices will be normally at the top or bottom of the band.

Look for prices to return to the middle band and make this your target.

Don’t hang around and trail stops.

As soon as you hit this band or near it take profit.

Other points

1. Only trade sharp volatile moves into valid and significant support and resistance.

2. Always wait for a stochastic crossover to enter don’t predict.

3. Set a target and get out.

A typical swing trade will last for around 2 – 4 trading days.

If you look for set ups that meet the above criteria you can get some low risk high reward trades that will build significant profits over time.

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Leonardo Fibonacci was an Italian mathematician who lived in thirteenth century Italy. He was not the first to observe repeating patterns and ratios in nature however his studies led to our understanding and the application of Fibonacci in Forex as it is today.

From his studies he discovered a particular number series that was applicable to the natural proportions of matter it in both nature and the universe. forex broker

The Fibonacci number series is a series of numbers starting with 1. Each subsequent number is created by adding together the two previous numbers. Therefore the second number would be 1+1, the third number 1+2, the forth number 2+3 and so on. From this sequence (1,1,2,3,5,8,13,21…) he identified what is known as the Golden ratio. If you divide any number in the series after 3 by the next highest number the resultant answer is 62.5. The higher up the number sequence you carry out the calculations the closer the ratio comes to 61.8%, which is considered the ‘Golden Number.’ forex broker

The ratios applied in Forex trading make use of this Golden Number and also set out additional incremental stages of this ratio. These are 23.2%, 38.2%, 50.0 % and 61.8%. The low of the move is referred to as 0.0% and the end of the move is referred to as 100.0%

These levels are used in Forex trading to project both price contractions and price extensions within the market.

1. Fibonacci retracement levels

Retracement levels are defined areas, based on the Fibonacci ratio, which aim to identify where the market is likely to pull back to after a move. In an up trending market these are also referred to as a Fibonacci support level. In a down trending market these will be referred to as a Fibonacci resistance level. These provide the opportunity for traders to position themselves to enter the preceding trend after a retracement has competed.

2. Fibonacci price extension levels

While Fibonacci retracements can be used to profit following a market move, Fibonacci price extensions are used to predict how far a move is likely to travel. Again the Fibonacci ratios are applied but in this instance they are used as price targets for the trader to take profits.

Fibonacci levels tend to work due to the expectation of many traders watching and entering the market at these points. Therefore it can be argued that to some degree these levels become a self-fulfilling prophecy.

You can calculate Fibonacci levels by entering the high and the low of a move into a Fibonacci Calculator and apply them to your own charts.

Fibonacci levels make a useful addition to the traders’ toolbox. As with all technical methods it is best to seek confirmation by the use of additional indicators rather than simply relying on Fibonacci methods alone.

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